fd43gsfg
0x47544ea8cd87034605959fd274dff4e77fc81210
- Realised P&L
- $-20.07
- Volume
- $661.33
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $151.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.755 | $75.50 | −$0.50 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.770 | $38.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · No | 0.902 | 0.996 | $10.05 | +$0.95 |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? · No | 0.562 | 0.501 | $10.02 | −$1.22 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.585 | 0.519 | $8.88 | −$1.12 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.841 | 0.861 | $8.80 | +$0.20 |
| Sharks vs. Blues · Blues | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
| Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.57at 0.750Penguins vs. Capitals
- +$2.47at 0.759Flyers vs. Senators
- +$2.27at 0.779Lightning vs. Rangers
- +$1.97at 0.808Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07?
- +$1.52at 0.849Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 01:24 | Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.70 |
| 10-09 01:03 | Sharks vs. Blues | BUY | 0.75 | $7.70 |
| 10-09 00:14 | Flyers vs. Senators | BUY | 0.75 | $7.70 |
| 10-09 00:00 | Wild vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.8699999922 | $8.90 |
| 10-08 20:56 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.70 |
| 10-08 00:43 | Penguins vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.7399999942 | $7.60 |
| 10-07 23:00 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.8424182359 | $8.50 |
| 10-07 22:47 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7? | BUY | 0.9669999992 | $9.80 |
| 10-07 22:30 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.20 |
| 10-07 15:11 | Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.919999996 | $9.30 |
| 10-07 01:02 | Senators vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.9199999961 | $9.40 |
| 10-06 23:30 | Dana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 10-06 17:33 | Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries? | BUY | 0.8899999941 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 21:56 | Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9579999962 | $9.70 |
| 10-05 21:10 | Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.7599999961 | $7.70 |