PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fd43gsfg

0x47544ea8cd87034605959fd274dff4e77fc81210

Realised P&L
$-20.07
Volume
$661.33
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$151.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.7600.755$75.50−$0.50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7600.770$38.50+$0.50
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · No0.9020.996$10.05+$0.95
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? · No0.5620.501$10.02−$1.22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5850.519$8.88−$1.12
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8410.861$8.80+$0.20
Sharks vs. Blues · Blues0.7500.000$0.00−$7.70
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-03? · No0.9690.000$0.00−$9.90
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$7.70
Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$7.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 01:24Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-08?BUY0.96$9.70
10-09 01:03Sharks vs. BluesBUY0.75$7.70
10-09 00:14Flyers vs. SenatorsBUY0.75$7.70
10-09 00:00Wild vs. LightningBUY0.8699999922$8.90
10-08 20:56Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?BUY0.75$7.70
10-08 00:43Penguins vs. CapitalsBUY0.7399999942$7.60
10-07 23:00Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.8424182359$8.50
10-07 22:47Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?BUY0.9669999992$9.80
10-07 22:30Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.8$8.20
10-07 15:11Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.919999996$9.30
10-07 01:02Senators vs. Red WingsBUY0.9199999961$9.40
10-06 23:30Dana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.85$8.50
10-06 17:33Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?BUY0.8899999941$9.00
10-05 21:56Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.9579999962$9.70
10-05 21:10Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?BUY0.7599999961$7.70