zenonfts
0x4753ff7c31a6b2a56047fb8e1060494b77c4968a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $39.5k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $301.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.280 | $140.00 | −$5.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.043 | 0.166 | $115.88 | +$85.88 |
| APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.044 | $44.00 | +$14.00 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.070 | 0.018 | $1.45 | −$4.20 |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.202 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$214.99 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.42 |
| GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.28 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.07at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$504.07at 0.372Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?
- +$384.26at 0.394USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$381.00at 0.375Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 3?
- +$314.28at 0.613Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6009999997 | $488.06 |
| 05-25 08:21 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $45.00 |
| 04-30 08:43 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.05 | $12.42 |
| 04-30 08:20 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.409999999 | $150.00 |
| 04-29 14:39 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $37.50 |
| 04-22 14:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0429754024 | $30.00 |
| 04-22 14:43 | Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0379664947 | $20.00 |
| 04-22 14:00 | Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0894397486 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 09:18 | USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $27.00 |
| 04-21 10:34 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9012366084 | $427.18 |
| 04-21 10:00 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8900586 | $89.01 |
| 04-21 09:53 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 04-21 09:53 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.889 | $80.01 |
| 04-05 12:49 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1889999349 | $2.29 |
| 04-03 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $35.81 |