hjfukguy
0x47505de9acafb8db9dd10007dca83b55de189c92
- Realised P&L
- $-89.94
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $27.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.972 | $22.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.888 | $4.54 | +$0.55 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.025 | $0.17 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.74at 0.174Lexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski
- +$18.67at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$14.04at 0.522Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
- +$13.52at 0.399Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$12.79at 0.610Spurs vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:42 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9279999979 | $7.00 |
| 08-12 23:04 | Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $14.55 |
| 08-12 22:45 | Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 21:41 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $0.21 |
| 08-12 19:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4399998363 | $1.29 |
| 08-12 17:12 | Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 22:55 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:33 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-11 02:18 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.9859999995 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 01:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5099999793 | $2.95 |
| 08-09 19:21 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4699998495 | $1.28 |
| 08-09 18:10 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 14:01 | Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.4699999812 | $7.26 |
| 08-09 14:00 | Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.4699999721 | $7.59 |
| 08-09 12:23 | PEC Zwolle vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |