hjfukguy
0x47505de9acafb8db9dd10007dca83b55de189c92
- Realised P&L
- $-108.88
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $26.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.977 | $22.45 | +$2.45 |
| Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.852 | $4.36 | +$0.37 |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner · 9z | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.53 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.74at 0.174Lexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski
- +$18.67at 0.452Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$14.04at 0.522Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
- +$13.52at 0.399Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$12.79at 0.610Spurs vs. Rockets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:27 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4962006079 | $6.53 |
| 09-29 12:28 | Set Handicap: Viktorija Golubic (-1.5) vs Alina Korneeva (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $6.28 |
| 09-29 07:21 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $1.21 |
| 09-29 07:13 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $4.55 |
| 09-29 06:42 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $8.79 |
| 08-25 12:42 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9279999979 | $7.00 |
| 08-12 23:04 | Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $14.55 |
| 08-12 22:45 | Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 21:41 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $0.21 |
| 08-12 19:29 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4399998363 | $1.29 |
| 08-12 17:12 | Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 22:55 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:33 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-11 02:18 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.9859999995 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 01:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5099999793 | $2.95 |