0x473b4de988d0f9f8ed15104db6a986912d3184f5
0x473b4de988d0f9f8ed15104db6a986912d3184f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.55
- Volume
- $250.20
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $106.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · No | 0.600 | 0.820 | $66.98 | +$17.97 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.820 | 0.964 | $23.93 | +$3.56 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? · No | 0.659 | 0.660 | $15.09 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.33 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.949Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$-5.34at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.33 |
| 09-29 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | SELL | 0.69 | $7.67 |
| 09-29 10:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.5999999838 | $7.40 |
| 09-29 10:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.06 |
| 09-29 09:56 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $20.37 |
| 09-29 09:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $41.61 |
| 09-29 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 08:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in September? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |