MrShrig67
0x473339de020b2dc4d4df7ebff793f9389cc922b9
- Realised P&L
- $-75.24
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $429.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.120 | 0.055 | $347.40 | −$409.46 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.055 | $56.96 | −$88.03 |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $25.57 | −$11.43 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.12 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.67 |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$479.84at 0.794Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
- +$479.58at 0.850Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
- +$57.43at 0.797Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
- +$0.96at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$-0.12at 0.237Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 21:58 | Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.0795936658 | $37.00 |
| 10-01 13:13 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $300.13 |
| 10-01 13:12 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.84 | $132.26 |
| 09-30 18:36 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.87 | $609.00 |
| 09-22 02:13 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.9001836522 | $1.0k |
| 09-20 01:52 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 22:19 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.8398835 | $1.3k |
| 09-17 13:38 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.8 | $58.17 |
| 09-17 13:32 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.801828 | $40.09 |
| 09-17 13:30 | Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.8 | $112.00 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 22:33 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-16 22:08 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.1k |
| 09-03 16:49 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $197.32 |
| 08-30 20:47 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $182.50 |