PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GuiBiagi

0x472ea1b97d0bfdd9a26a2dd27ff6ef2b4def8f9a

Realised P&L
$-113.86
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
492
Open portfolio
$51.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded492
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.4500.445$9.89−$0.11
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.3900.385$9.87−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2? · Yes0.6200.615$4.96−$0.04
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.3900.385$4.94−$0.06
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.3300.325$4.92−$0.08
Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.3900.380$4.87−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2? · Yes0.4800.465$4.84−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2? · Yes0.1600.140$4.38−$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? · Yes0.3400.340$2.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2? · Yes0.2700.080$0.30−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 2? · Yes0.0150.004$0.27−$0.73
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4200.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.4050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:54Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 2?BUY0.480392123$5.00
11-02 01:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 2?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
11-02 01:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
11-02 01:07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on November 2?BUY0.0149999999$1.00
11-02 01:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.16$5.00
11-02 00:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
11-02 00:48Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
11-02 00:47Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
11-02 00:46Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
11-02 00:45Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
11-02 00:44Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-27 21:20Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-27 21:07Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?SELL0.46$12.10
10-27 19:35Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-25 22:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2189999974$10.00