PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x472E8387ee46e754678B63B29815EeD55f03b6Ab-1773621638410

0x472e8387ee46e754678b63b29815eed55f03b6ab

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$67.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$485.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0330.022$447.40$204.15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1720.079$37.77$44.55
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$234.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00$10.26
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? · No0.0710.000$0.00$50.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$89.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$1.3k
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$97.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5600.000$0.00$136.34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$800.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 7? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$1.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$96.48
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$291.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 23:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1721675464$82.32
08-05 23:36Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.015$88.24
07-14 19:10France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5599999998$136.34
07-13 17:01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3889999999$1.3k
07-10 02:12Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2274999993$234.18
07-09 02:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.138$9.00
06-30 01:17Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?SELL0.001$1.69
06-03 07:24Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.12$96.48
05-13 00:08Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0590385777$100.00
05-10 08:20Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?BUY0.0713050609$50.00
04-24 18:26Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?BUY0.5099999786$9.71
04-20 03:32Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?BUY0.0419288514$95.98
04-09 18:47Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0381220514$95.59
04-09 05:14Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0345074284$272.87
04-09 05:14Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0249604539$158.53