0x472E8387ee46e754678B63B29815EeD55f03b6Ab-1773621638410
0x472e8387ee46e754678b63b29815eed55f03b6ab
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $485.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.31at 0.138Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-15.24at 0.017Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-83.35at 0.130Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$-98.31at 0.059Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 23:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1721675464 | $82.32 |
| 08-05 23:36 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.015 | $88.24 |
| 07-14 19:10 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $136.34 |
| 07-13 17:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3889999999 | $1.3k |
| 07-10 02:12 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2274999993 | $234.18 |
| 07-09 02:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.138 | $9.00 |
| 06-30 01:17 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.69 |
| 06-03 07:24 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.12 | $96.48 |
| 05-13 00:08 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0590385777 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 08:20 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0713050609 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 18:26 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $9.71 |
| 04-20 03:32 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | BUY | 0.0419288514 | $95.98 |
| 04-09 18:47 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0381220514 | $95.59 |
| 04-09 05:14 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0345074284 | $272.87 |
| 04-09 05:14 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0249604539 | $158.53 |