0x4724de94c312f1c37d4f34b99754db262fb87faa
0x4724de94c312f1c37d4f34b99754db262fb87faa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 772
- Open portfolio
- $4.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded772
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up | 0.560 | 1.000 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.385 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs. Uni-President Lions · Uni-President Lions | 0.500 | 0.500 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.08at 0.287Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$66.09at 0.545Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$63.42at 0.455Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$44.95at 0.053Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?
- +$44.66at 0.107Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:35 | Chinatrust Brothers vs. Uni-President Lions | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:33 | Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $0.75 |
| 10-09 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $2.47 |
| 10-09 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:45 | Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:44 | Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Exact Score: CA Paranaense 3 - 1 CA Mineiro? | BUY | 0.0459999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:15 | Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-10? | SELL | 0.975 | $2.95 |