PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x471fc2d2e420f7a43693291258711af95b0f981f

Realised P&L
$229.51
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
311
Open portfolio
$2.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded311
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · No0.0800.075$1.88$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on September 16? · Yes0.0040.001$0.25$1.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.0060.001$0.16$1.84
Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FK Kauno Zalgiris: O/U 3.5 · Under0.0100.001$0.10$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16? · Yes0.0100.001$0.08$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16? · Yes0.0050.001$0.06$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 16? · Yes0.0180.001$0.06$1.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 16? · Yes0.0010.001$0.03$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 16? · Yes0.0300.001$0.03$1.97
AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score · No0.0100.005$0.03$0.03
Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FK Kauno Zalgiris: Vilnius FK Zalgiris O/U 2.5 · Under0.0010.001$0.03$0.03
Vilnius FK Zalgiris vs. FK Kauno Zalgiris: O/U 4.5 · Under0.0100.001$0.01$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 16? · Yes0.0190.001$0.01$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16? · Yes0.1700.001$0.01$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 16? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.53
09-16 16:04XRP Up or Down - September 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.0559999996$1.00
09-16 15:59XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.07
09-16 15:59Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-16 15:59Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.0497182615$1.00
09-16 15:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-16 15:58Solana Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-16 15:57Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.1$1.80
09-16 15:54Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.16$1.55
09-16 15:54BNB Up or Down - September 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-16 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.069999999$2.00
09-16 15:47XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.0285714286$1.00
09-16 15:34XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.0218637097$1.17
09-16 15:34Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.0234180137$1.69
09-16 15:34BNB Up or Down - September 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.1090909051$1.00