0x4719cba14c150c4f550eabcacd3e8d8362834b34
0x4719cba14c150c4f550eabcacd3e8d8362834b34
- Realised P&L
- $54.37
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $26.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.395 | $9.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $8.33 | −$1.67 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.022 | $3.91 | −$0.09 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 4 FC Barcelona? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.011 | $2.27 | −$0.73 |
| Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.044 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.55at 0.188Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
- +$15.16at 0.025Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.64at 0.404Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$7.05at 0.783Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
- +$6.74at 0.694Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 12:28 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt? | BUY | 0.0459999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 09:58 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 4 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0139072847 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 09:54 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 06:52 | Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 21:05 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 19:20 | Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 21:08 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:06 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 14:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $121.16 |
| 05-22 21:54 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $46.90 |
| 05-15 21:49 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999996 | $49.74 |