0x819f6913a2F89523C0272Ad0Dd0f5AFB07bEA0a3-1767722183903
0x47174690fe77f9d1c4a4005fca7ffd010c1922dd
- Realised P&L
- $22.18
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $55.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $55.64 | +$1.64 |
| Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.11at 0.759Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-08-15?
- +$6.94at 0.876Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-18?
- +$5.57at 0.876Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$5.21at 0.885Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?
- +$4.30at 0.895Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 23:46 | Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.97 | $54.00 |
| 09-19 23:44 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Huracán end in a draw? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.33 |
| 09-19 23:27 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Huracán end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 03:53 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.26 |
| 09-19 01:49 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.8699999989 | $49.00 |
| 09-16 19:26 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999992 | $45.90 |
| 09-13 01:23 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.1809523741 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 01:20 | Will Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:00 | Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 20:34 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.96 | $45.00 |
| 09-08 17:40 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.8699999846 | $39.00 |
| 09-08 15:10 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5699999873 | $4.93 |
| 09-08 14:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 14:33 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.5399998457 | $1.47 |
| 09-06 03:20 | Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999778 | $6.00 |