Sxc123.sxc
0x470f7d0a5550ac39c576fa41cd9b70e626066a31
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $66.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.295 | 0.525 | $7.7k | +$3.4k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET · Down | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET · Down | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up | 0.734 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? · Down | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.353Ethereum Up or Down on September 29?
- +$1.1kat 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1PM ET
- +$305.02at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12PM ET
- +$140.18at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$117.66at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29 | $352.50 |
| 10-01 00:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $900.00 |
| 10-01 00:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $600.00 |
| 10-01 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $900.00 |
| 10-01 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29 | $414.12 |
| 10-01 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29 | $580.00 |
| 10-01 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $73.42 |
| 10-01 00:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 10-01 00:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $169.93 |
| 09-30 16:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.035618878 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.0274930717 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.0370096225 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.0608758513 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.0995655322 | $100.00 |