0x47094d895673913374b7380c5920428bb2291d93
- Realised P&L
- $-222.00
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.348 | $3.86 | −$3.94 |
| Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.024 | $0.15 | −$4.21 |
| Will Hunter Brown strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$7.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.53at 0.704Game Handicap: Team Falcons PH (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming PH (+1.5)
- +$1.85at 0.736Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$0.78at 0.868Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$0.78at 0.868Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$0.74at 0.747Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on April 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5? | BUY | 0.5999999599 | $2.99 |
| 05-05 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5? | BUY | 0.5999999599 | $2.99 |
| 05-05 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 5? | BUY | 0.5999999599 | $2.99 |
| 05-02 01:45 | XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 00:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 23:00 | Solana Up or Down - May 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 21:55 | Solana Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.55 |
| 04-30 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.49 |
| 04-30 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.55 |
| 04-30 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.55 |
| 04-30 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.55 |
| 04-30 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.12 |
| 04-30 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.896 | $22.40 |
| 04-30 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |