PolyBot

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Traders

Frother

0x47093045190f43481ce041c6836b360ee559526f

Realised P&L
$50.59
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$125.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · Yes0.4041.000$106.25+$63.36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.4000.160$7.97$12.03
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1300.045$6.92$13.08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1400.055$3.93$6.07
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$15.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$66.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$10.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$38.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$5.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$42.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 07:26Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.4036807763$42.89
06-18 07:23Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?BUY0.2159000422$10.00
06-18 07:22Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999969$38.00
06-18 07:21Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.62$23.52
05-29 04:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6$66.00
05-29 04:44Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?BUY0.5828397409$40.00
05-29 04:37US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?BUY0.05$30.00
05-02 06:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.8699999813$33.00
05-02 06:35Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-02 06:35Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.0362386495$5.00
05-02 06:35Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.0185401994$5.00
05-02 06:33Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.1$10.00
04-28 14:25Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.54$31.86
04-28 14:23Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
04-28 14:21Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.4$20.00