Frother
0x47093045190f43481ce041c6836b360ee559526f
- Realised P&L
- $50.59
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $125.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.39at 0.460Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$71.06at 0.330US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$50.95at 0.636Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
- +$39.52at 0.470US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$35.89at 0.390Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 07:26 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.4036807763 | $42.89 |
| 06-18 07:23 | Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | BUY | 0.2159000422 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 07:22 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999969 | $38.00 |
| 06-18 07:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.62 | $23.52 |
| 05-29 04:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $66.00 |
| 05-29 04:44 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | BUY | 0.5828397409 | $40.00 |
| 05-29 04:37 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $30.00 |
| 05-02 06:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.8699999813 | $33.00 |
| 05-02 06:35 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 06:35 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0362386495 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 06:35 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0185401994 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 06:33 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 14:25 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.54 | $31.86 |
| 04-28 14:23 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |