Rentata
0x470745c23bfd431deceef2de77c681bb464538be
- Realised P&L
- $-5.02
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $20.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.922 | $10.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.938 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 26?
- +$0.43at 0.700Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?
- +$0.41at 0.830Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?
- +$0.11at 0.900Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$0.09at 0.900U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 08:37 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 07:44 | Will any piece of the Sapphire set be recovered by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 07:43 | Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 07:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $492.30 |
| 10-26 07:41 | Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 07:40 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 08:09 | Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 08:09 | Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 08:09 | Iran behind June 12 internet outages? | BUY | 0.962 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 08:08 | Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 08:08 | U.S. withdraws from Syria before July? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.09 |
| 03-14 09:52 | Georgescu banned from Romania election? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 09:52 | U.S. withdraws from Syria before July? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 09:52 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 02-17 08:54 | Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |