jibadan
0x470439b33900feff8b170f66868f3d166a5b12ab
- Realised P&L
- $1.69
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $15.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? · Up | 0.626 | 0.805 | $6.75 | +$1.50 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.610 | 0.630 | $5.76 | +$0.18 |
| XRP Up or Down on October 5? · Up | 0.650 | 0.660 | $2.68 | +$0.04 |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.56 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.70 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.72 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| England leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.38 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.68 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.49 |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.36 |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) · Egypt | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.88 |
| Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.82at 0.134Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.95at 0.336Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
- +$22.90at 0.467Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$12.40at 0.618Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$11.93at 0.144Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:23 | Solana Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $2.79 |
| 10-05 01:31 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.7299998365 | $2.59 |
| 10-04 22:05 | XRP Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.6499999877 | $2.64 |
| 10-04 20:38 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5499999586 | $2.66 |
| 10-04 20:02 | Solana Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $2.79 |
| 10-04 13:03 | XRP Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.82 |
| 10-04 01:35 | Solana Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.36 |
| 10-04 00:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $0.11 |
| 10-03 14:01 | Solana Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.0868858107 | $2.79 |
| 10-03 12:21 | Solana Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $0.67 |
| 10-03 11:02 | Solana Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.85 |
| 10-03 08:20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.73 |
| 10-03 04:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BUY | 0.1499999945 | $2.72 |
| 07-12 01:17 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.95 |
| 07-12 01:01 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.8599999921 | $8.70 |