junnet
0x4700239c5c18063e72df70d3565f3c0b5d6641ce
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $126.1k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.986 | $877.10 | +$2.23 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.999 | $499.25 | +$5.75 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No | 0.985 | 0.995 | $497.24 | +$4.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.981 | $364.75 | +$4.65 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.981 | $123.65 | +$2.67 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.871 | 0.915 | $81.71 | +$3.93 |
| Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.800 | 0.905 | $34.03 | +$3.95 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.05at 0.959Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?
- +$118.00at 0.410Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?
- +$103.36at 0.946Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August?
- +$89.00at 0.350Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$77.14at 0.879Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 09:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | SELL | 0.1991940231 | $119.11 |
| 08-20 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 08-20 05:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $419.16 |
| 08-20 05:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.977 | $439.65 |
| 08-20 05:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.976 | $56.73 |
| 08-11 19:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $118.92 |
| 08-11 10:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | BUY | 0.977 | $146.54 |
| 08-11 10:24 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? | SELL | 0.0427915 | $17.12 |
| 08-11 10:20 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? | BUY | 0.0778 | $31.12 |
| 08-09 14:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | BUY | 0.955 | $191.00 |
| 08-09 14:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | BUY | 0.955 | $191.00 |
| 08-09 14:56 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $493.50 |
| 08-06 06:01 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? | BUY | 0.943 | $15.09 |
| 08-05 11:14 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $874.87 |
| 08-05 09:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $360.10 |