gordonwrong
0x46f804d6f4eb54292d4329e160b2640b702f68cc
- Realised P&L
- $12.2k
- Volume
- $5.54M
- Markets traded
- 6,368
- Open portfolio
- $454.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,368
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SF (-12.5) · MIA | 0.494 | 0.485 | $90.21 | −$1.73 |
| Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.410 | 0.460 | $75.90 | +$8.25 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.455 | 0.425 | $68.85 | −$4.86 |
| Set Handicap: Titouan Droguet (-1.5) vs Borna Gojo (+1.5) · Titouan Droguet | 0.320 | 0.685 | $63.02 | +$33.58 |
| Spread: LA (-9.5) · LA | 0.450 | 0.445 | $47.81 | −$0.54 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: 1. FC Union Berlin O/U 2.5 Corners · Under | 0.400 | 0.460 | $38.18 | +$4.98 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.400 | 0.395 | $32.78 | −$0.41 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.430 | 0.425 | $31.88 | −$0.38 |
| Southern Illinois vs. Illinois · Southern Illinois | 0.012 | 0.008 | $4.53 | −$2.27 |
| UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims) · Tai Tuivasa | 0.160 | 0.175 | $0.82 | +$0.07 |
| Counter-Strike: Infinite vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B · Infinite | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$43.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.320Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
- +$6.0kat 0.011FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5
- +$3.0kat 0.050Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
- +$1.8kat 0.201Spread: Spain (-4.5)
- +$1.6kat 0.240LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:31 | Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | BUY | 0.34 | $24.98 |
| 09-17 16:34 | Spread: LA (-9.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $4.54 |
| 09-15 14:58 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.4 | $66.80 |
| 09-12 15:36 | Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.4710344828 | $13.66 |
| 09-12 15:36 | Rice vs. Notre Dame: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $13.63 |
| 09-06 03:09 | Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | SELL | 0.009 | $2.37 |
| 09-06 02:45 | Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | SELL | 0.01 | $1.30 |
| 09-06 02:45 | Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | SELL | 0.011 | $1.36 |
| 09-06 00:31 | Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | BUY | 0.011 | $1.6k |
| 09-05 11:38 | Spread: Penn State (-23.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $14.21 |
| 09-05 00:41 | Fresno State vs. USC | SELL | 0.06 | $7.68 |
| 08-30 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-30 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-30 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-30 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |