0x46f4b8255927d2dAa548Ab764770D6e30f06F6C7-1769596110615
0x46f4b8255927d2daa548ab764770d6e30f06f6c7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.63
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $127.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.044 | $127.84 | −$217.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.33at 0.300Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$34.28at 0.487Will Solana reach $120 in September?
- +$32.73at 0.550Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
- +$17.24at 0.449Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 26?
- +$2.30at 0.607Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:45 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 11:45 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $55.08 |
| 09-21 21:44 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 26? | SELL | 0.8317898833 | $38.48 |
| 09-21 18:52 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1379251912 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 18:49 | Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0372806113 | $33.91 |
| 09-21 18:49 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1154736078 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 18:22 | Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0883181565 | $80.33 |
| 09-21 18:14 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $87.23 |
| 09-20 11:47 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $44.85 |
| 09-20 11:45 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 26? | BUY | 0.4322766539 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 09:29 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 09:25 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 13:39 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 04-29 18:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999973 | $67.00 |
| 02-06 07:23 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999975 | $40.00 |