Heinrich1871
0x46f451e0c0ee31a46ec62a5051094b1fe5e65352
- Realised P&L
- $-767.41
- Volume
- $101.6k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $263.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.75at 0.617Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
- +$146.37at 0.670Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$116.09at 0.753BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
- +$82.44at 0.540Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$65.07at 0.430Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:06 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.54 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.925 | $4.01 |
| 09-15 10:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9209998559 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 09:27 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.41 |
| 09-14 15:50 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999927 | $2.94 |
| 09-14 15:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.03 |
| 09-13 07:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 07:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 10:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.524752469 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.480392146 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4215686138 | $10.00 |