0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714
0x46ee4944d72cceaac9c19e08e0491cbad461ae61
- Realised P&L
- $-246.0k
- Volume
- $6.88M
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $235.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 1.000 | $235.5k | +$228.0k |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.001 | $117.82 | −$7.5k |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.001 | $102.45 | −$6.5k |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.4k |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.6k |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.5kat 0.325Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
- +$13.2kat 0.505Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova
- +$12.2kat 0.377Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur
- +$12.0kat 0.146Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner
- +$11.2kat 0.459Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 11:47 | Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod | BUY | 0.94 | $66.13 |
| 08-18 11:45 | Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod | BUY | 0.9099288711 | $8.8k |
| 07-14 00:54 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.028 | $3.08 |
| 06-04 21:17 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0287340181 | $53.48 |
| 06-01 06:47 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.52 |
| 05-11 16:59 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.64 | $958.08 |
| 05-11 16:58 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.61 | $66.49 |
| 05-11 16:57 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 05-11 16:56 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.55 | $2.7k |
| 05-11 16:55 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.579904462 | $659.19 |
| 05-11 16:54 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.58 | $892.47 |
| 05-11 16:51 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.5091464201 | $3.2k |
| 05-11 16:51 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.4484507993 | $2.7k |
| 05-11 16:49 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.4485316984 | $10.7k |
| 05-11 15:39 | Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko | BUY | 0.56 | $241.36 |