0x46ee4944d72cCeAAc9c19e08e0491cbAD461AE61-1774461767714
0x46ee4944d72cceaac9c19e08e0491cbad461ae61
- Realised P&L
- $-40.2k
- Volume
- $6.83M
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $228.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.747 | $175.9k | +$168.3k |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.100 | $23.6k | +$16.0k |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.055 | $12.7k | +$5.5k |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.029 | $7.0k | −$619.04 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.033 | $5.1k | +$2.6k |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.018 | $3.0k | −$2.3k |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.004 | $731.43 | −$4.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.6kat 0.325Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
- +$13.2kat 0.505Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova
- +$12.6kat 0.370Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur
- +$12.0kat 0.146Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner
- +$11.2kat 0.459Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 00:54 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.028 | $3.08 |
| 06-04 21:17 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0287340181 | $53.48 |
| 06-01 06:47 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.52 |
| 05-11 16:59 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.64 | $958.08 |
| 05-11 16:58 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.61 | $66.49 |
| 05-11 16:57 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 05-11 16:56 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.55 | $2.7k |
| 05-11 16:55 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.579904462 | $659.19 |
| 05-11 16:54 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.58 | $892.47 |
| 05-11 16:51 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.5091464201 | $3.2k |
| 05-11 16:51 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.4484507993 | $2.7k |
| 05-11 16:49 | Zagreb: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Josip Simundza | BUY | 0.4485316984 | $10.7k |
| 05-11 15:39 | Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko | BUY | 0.56 | $241.36 |
| 05-11 15:38 | Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 05-11 14:15 | Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougaz | BUY | 0.68 | $4.25 |