carloshs
0x46db7b37b852b2255ec6ea8ba71a62bb2308a8d2
- Realised P&L
- $-22.37
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $25.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Eagles · Panthers | 0.470 | 0.475 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) · Colts | 0.540 | 0.535 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Rams | 0.480 | 0.475 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos · Seahawks | 0.610 | 0.595 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) · Bears | 0.530 | 0.565 | $3.20 | +$0.20 |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Browns | 0.550 | 0.460 | $2.51 | −$0.49 |
| Spread: 49ers (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) · Commanders | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.65 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Patriots (-13.5) · Raiders | 0.374 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.10 |
| Will United States win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spain vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals · Bengals | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.94at 0.408Spread: Falcons (-3.5)
- +$13.52at 0.400Lions vs. Panthers
- +$11.55at 0.467Spread: Lions (-2.5)
- +$11.55at 0.467Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
- +$8.00at 0.800Boise State vs. Fresno State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:50 | Spread: Bears (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 04:45 | Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 04:44 | Spread: Colts (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:44 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:43 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:41 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 02:54 | Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-11 23:47 | Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 23:45 | Spread: Lions (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 10-11 23:44 | Spread: 49ers (-3.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 10-11 22:18 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $2.50 |
| 10-11 22:02 | Spread: 49ers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 21:58 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 21:26 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 20:50 | Spread: Lions (-2.5) | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |