Ramdom2026
0x46cdc5a0ce0692849821a3056e983c55c38e6b95
- Realised P&L
- $10.7k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $827.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.580 | $813.33 | +$24.56 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.070 | $14.47 | −$6.20 |
| Independiente Rivadavia vs. Atletico Tucuman: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.54 |
| Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$416.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.406Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?
- +$989.36at 0.282Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$843.19at 0.170Will Londrina EC win on 2026-07-13?
- +$790.62at 0.288Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-06?
- +$759.74at 0.671FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 00:36 | Will St. Lucia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.7k |
| 09-29 00:34 | Will St. Lucia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.94 | $190.59 |
| 09-29 00:34 | Will St. Lucia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.82 | $578.82 |
| 09-29 00:34 | Will St. Lucia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.82 | $578.82 |
| 09-28 23:42 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.286065017 | $23.58 |
| 09-28 23:41 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $4.19 |
| 09-28 23:41 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.309 | $2.25 |
| 09-28 23:41 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $2.25 |
| 09-28 23:41 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $9.25 |
| 09-28 23:41 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.31 | $12.65 |
| 09-28 23:40 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.3219254463 | $9.20 |
| 09-28 23:40 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3595652174 | $5.21 |
| 09-28 23:40 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3192897727 | $4.50 |
| 09-28 23:39 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.31 | $13.40 |
| 09-28 23:39 | Suriname vs. Martinique: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $4.46 |