0x46c8fef5807b2661bbf86d831d5e13b32d140f7a
0x46c8fef5807b2661bbf86d831d5e13b32d140f7a
- Realised P&L
- $-677.04
- Volume
- $220.6k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $12.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.039 | $4.79 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $4.41 | −$0.07 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.025 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.033 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$708.98at 0.176Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$48.33at 0.756Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
- +$33.63at 0.280Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$31.33at 0.154Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$29.45at 0.607Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:42 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999866 | $4.48 |
| 11-01 13:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? | BUY | 0.0389999999 | $4.79 |
| 11-01 13:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | BUY | 0.0264150942 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 09:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.54 |
| 10-31 02:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.0175143089 | $1.19 |
| 10-31 02:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.94 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.49 | $6.44 |
| 10-28 05:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5299999973 | $3.98 |
| 10-27 23:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4399999716 | $2.48 |
| 10-27 22:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4 | $11.79 |
| 10-27 12:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999953 | $7.96 |
| 10-27 12:01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.84 |