0x46c8E549c39f43F0B3618E54449bbe16A8255894-1772019167325
0x46c8e549c39f43f0b3618e54449bbe16a8255894
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $128.7k
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $20.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$975.94at 0.435Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$507.51at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$315.27at 0.230Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
- +$271.49at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$220.66at 0.663Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 06:41 | Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0838989337 | $17.98 |
| 08-25 06:41 | Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0620189688 | $25.00 |
| 08-20 11:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3163468283 | $14.53 |
| 08-20 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.44 |
| 08-20 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $14.14 |
| 08-20 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 11:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 11:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |