PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x46c8E549c39f43F0B3618E54449bbe16A8255894-1772019167325

0x46c8e549c39f43f0b3618e54449bbe16a8255894

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$128.7k
Markets traded
590
Open portfolio
$20.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded590
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0840.050$10.72$7.26
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0620.025$10.28$14.72
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5430.000$0.00$4.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5? · No0.0270.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Up0.3840.000$0.00$13.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$10.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.2840.000$0.00$7.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00$2.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.3730.000$0.00$8.83
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.3150.000$0.00$3.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.0230.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 06:41Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0838989337$17.98
08-25 06:41Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0620189688$25.00
08-20 11:25Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.3163468283$14.53
08-20 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.52$1.44
08-20 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-20 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSELL0.99$14.14
08-20 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-20 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
08-20 11:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-20 11:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
08-20 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.4699999985$100.00
08-20 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
08-20 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
08-20 10:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.05$5.00
08-20 10:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.1299999789$5.00