Wristony
0x46c5aa9e0e3afea63874dd609414250eb3c73188
- Realised P&L
- $22.2k
- Volume
- $121.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $929.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.555 | 0.525 | $803.40 | −$46.60 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.215 | $126.47 | +$26.47 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.70 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.05 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.6kat 0.479Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
- +$2.7kat 0.592Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$1.7kat 0.604Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?
- +$1.2kat 0.704Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:05 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5734003524 | $300.00 |
| 10-06 01:04 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-05 02:57 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $250.00 |
| 10-04 04:13 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 04:12 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.54 | $500.00 |
| 10-03 15:21 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 09-29 14:46 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 14:45 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 09-27 09:10 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-27 09:09 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-25 14:28 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 05:38 | Manchester City FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 05:37 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $300.00 |
| 09-13 14:26 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $400.00 |