0x46BA3aD48D3157BA5898d72E1cB88231eE9e48CD-1781915752244
0x46ba3ad48d3157ba5898d72e1cb88231ee9e48cd
- Realised P&L
- $-16.74
- Volume
- $229.03
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.440 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.650 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.98 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers · Nuggets | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.20at 0.392Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?
- +$3.05at 0.502Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$3.04at 0.587Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
- +$2.41at 0.677Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.80at 0.627Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:06 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 02:05 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 02:04 | Nets vs. Heat | SELL | 0.999 | $1.58 |
| 10-15 02:04 | Hornets vs. Celtics | SELL | 0.999 | $2.63 |
| 10-14 23:39 | Nets vs. Heat | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:38 | Hornets vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 23:37 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 23:37 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 02:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4499999471 | $2.98 |
| 10-14 02:16 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 02:14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 02:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.74 |
| 10-04 16:11 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 16:09 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 16:07 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |