PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nonmonmymous

0x46b438221cea053fc6092af597da395aa5ba72e9

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$780.1k
Markets traded
1,768
Open portfolio
$18.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,768
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · No0.7601.000$11.00+$2.63
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? · No0.6101.000$4.07+$1.59
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9991.000$2.00+$0.00
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.5181.000$1.01+$0.49
Will the Republican Party win the VA-10 House seat? · Yes0.1800.022$0.02−$0.17
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$8.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$26.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down0.6850.000$0.00−$474.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up0.5530.000$0.00−$42.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.7590.000$0.00−$168.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.8200.000$0.00−$1.82
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.6770.000$0.00−$10.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.7970.000$0.00−$209.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$24.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 15:07Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4388046154$28.52
06-22 11:21Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?SELL0.39$40.83
06-22 10:17Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1232467532$18.98
06-22 10:17Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.14$10.50
06-22 08:54Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.25
06-22 07:08Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5541787821$9.52
06-22 06:06Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.56$14.00
06-22 04:26Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5599999918$13.68
06-22 03:24Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5099999836$12.10
06-22 02:50Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5299999993$8.10
06-22 02:42Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999696$7.14
06-22 02:41Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3599999907$15.54
06-22 02:15Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.12$12.00
06-22 01:11Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6$20.13
06-21 20:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.59$55.46