imnotaseallion
0x46b2fd4bbe0f59a9c6ace262473fe1e9611fecca
- Realised P&L
- $-156.82
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $13.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.40at 0.020Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on August 20?
- +$53.35at 0.301Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$48.93at 0.021Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 19?
- +$45.00at 0.270MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$30.40at 0.300Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.0101370186 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0087771481 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0049751244 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 04:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.0108944329 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:58 | Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.48 | $64.80 |
| 09-30 14:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 08:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.015128593 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |