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Traders

Cerer

0x469d7e39e32bec2cf996bcd76a49df66a58c370b

Realised P&L
$-11.29
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$3.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9320.950$3.27+$0.06
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as Prime Minister of Thailand in July? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30? · No0.7940.000$0.00$3.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 05:09Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.99$299.39
05-29 05:09Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$199.80
05-29 05:08Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$199.80
05-26 05:19Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$200.00
05-26 05:18Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.992$300.00
05-26 05:17Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$200.00
05-02 04:45Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.993$301.49
05-02 04:45Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.993$289.71
04-29 12:40Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.994$290.00
04-29 12:39Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.994$300.00
04-29 12:38Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.993$297.90
04-29 12:38Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.994$300.00
03-25 09:09Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.993$301.49
03-25 09:09Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.994$239.99
03-24 12:08Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.994$240.00