0x469a1811ddb5ead14a17495a1c1b99b3eba9142d
0x469a1811ddb5ead14a17495a1c1b99b3eba9142d
- Realised P&L
- $-26.64
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $57.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.838 | $57.41 | −$6.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.897Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.820Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.951Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?
- +$-26.64at 0.260NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:34 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9342648889 | $64.00 |
| 10-20 21:33 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9508232266 | $500.00 |
| 10-20 20:31 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.69 |
| 10-20 20:29 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8969967702 | $156.00 |
| 10-20 08:13 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9169721693 | $303.45 |
| 10-18 08:56 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.806219627 | $240.00 |
| 10-17 20:52 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8449045743 | $91.00 |
| 10-17 20:51 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999992 | $41.00 |
| 10-17 20:48 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8285758981 | $372.00 |
| 10-15 23:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2467386315 | $496.69 |