joshua7777
0x4697610e02dc6d90046e4d21a47e18fc4a7409f3
- Realised P&L
- $-280.81
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $488.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.055 | $488.05 | −$645.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.65at 0.260Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$134.05at 0.920Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-22 03:23 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SELL | 0.32 | $65.28 |
| 11-13 11:43 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $999.64 |