PolyBot

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Traders

mikeu

0x4685d75e24570a50c11e7aa172d5ed785913fe25

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$68.1k
Markets traded
6,935
Open portfolio
$24.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,935
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 11:02Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 4?BUY0.12$4.64
07-02 11:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?BUY0.12$5.00
07-02 11:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?BUY0.41$5.00
07-02 11:02Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 3?BUY0.18$5.00
07-02 11:02Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?BUY0.44$5.00
07-01 11:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?BUY0.061$0.61
07-01 11:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 2?BUY0.1$2.15
07-01 11:02Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 2?BUY0.06$4.44
06-30 07:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?BUY0.22$5.00
06-30 07:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?BUY0.04$3.76
06-30 07:26Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 1?BUY0.05$0.25
06-30 07:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?BUY0.36$5.00
06-17 07:25Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-17 07:23Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?BUY0.32$10.00
06-17 07:22SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.6629199971$10.00