redHot852
0x4680b273166d7de76f3a7857d7c90e9e123f4a83
- Realised P&L
- $-396.58
- Volume
- $215.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,966
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,966
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.20at 0.040Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ET
- +$29.56at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET
- +$16.76at 0.849Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET
- +$16.34at 0.851Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET
- +$15.85at 0.857Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $4.02 |
| 09-15 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $4.14 |
| 09-14 18:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 09-12 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.0620253144 | $1.05 |
| 09-12 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 22:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 09-11 08:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-11 02:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 09-11 00:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.0469999993 | $1.02 |
| 09-10 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.0419189563 | $4.00 |
| 09-10 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-08 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.0339622641 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |