0x467d581fd0c17b54cbd3c18a88184539309b873c
0x467d581fd0c17b54cbd3c18a88184539309b873c
- Realised P&L
- $6.14
- Volume
- $398.97
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $10.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.355 | $3.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.825 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.671 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.530 | $1.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.310 | $0.84 | −$1.16 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.340 | 0.037 | $0.22 | −$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$6.10at 0.252Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:46 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 07:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:44 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 01:41 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 17:07 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 09:07 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |