0x467b7b58695cc506ceba2d6e67705bdbed7975f2
0x467b7b58695cc506ceba2d6e67705bdbed7975f2
- Realised P&L
- $41.90
- Volume
- $571.98
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $49.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurkacz vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.595 | $29.26 | +$4.67 |
| Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev · Daniil Medvedev | 0.500 | 0.615 | $19.84 | +$3.71 |
| China Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Alex Molcan · Marco Trungelliti | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.31 |
| Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Lloyd Harris (+1.5) · Lloyd Harris | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.83 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.81 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.75 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.06 |
| Spread: Army (-3.5) · Temple | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.63 |
| Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov · Denis Shapovalov | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.83 |
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau · Matteo Martineau | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| Panthers vs. Browns · Panthers | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.64 |
| Rams vs. Broncos · Rams | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez · Federico Agustin Gomez | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Eduardo Ribeiro · Eduardo Ribeiro | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.24 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Stanford · Georgia Tech | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.83at 0.669Spread: Georgia (-13.5)
- +$15.87at 0.500Missouri vs. Mississippi State
- +$11.43at 0.537Hangzhou Open: Coleman Wong vs Adolfo Vallejo
- +$10.27at 0.500Tulsa vs. Arkansas
- +$9.53at 0.592Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:45 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 09-28 20:46 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | BUY | 0.17 | $4.50 |
| 09-28 18:37 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.81 | $9.87 |
| 09-28 15:39 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka | SELL | 0.25 | $4.81 |
| 09-28 15:17 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Dan Added vs Gauthier Onclin | SELL | 0.33 | $6.35 |
| 09-28 15:16 | Bari: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Enrico Dalla Valle | SELL | 0.66 | $13.46 |
| 09-28 15:16 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Thomas Faurel | SELL | 0.67 | $9.05 |
| 09-28 15:16 | Bari: Lorenzo Angelini vs Garrett Johns | SELL | 0.77 | $9.63 |
| 09-28 04:04 | China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-27 20:52 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5399999758 | $9.82 |
| 09-27 16:41 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5399999758 | $9.82 |
| 09-27 16:33 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.5999999878 | $9.83 |
| 09-27 15:12 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5499999832 | $9.82 |
| 09-27 12:49 | Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Lloyd Harris (+1.5) | BUY | 0.28 | $4.83 |
| 09-26 23:27 | Georgia Tech vs. Stanford | BUY | 0.5799999953 | $9.83 |