pao111
0x46708013449c97e9ab386b643532895657beea1d
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $130.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$532.00at 0.620Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$233.13at 0.747LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$232.67at 0.741Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$212.02at 0.618Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$171.34at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:46 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 21:46 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:01 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999952 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1389999862 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:00 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999872 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 09:39 | OKX IPO in 2026? | SELL | 0.1019176442 | $8.51 |
| 05-22 09:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.74 |
| 05-08 12:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 03-22 03:14 | USR depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.7951614426 | $100.00 |
| 03-22 03:13 | USR depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.7539317541 | $100.00 |
| 03-22 03:12 | USR depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.6539952834 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 14:25 | LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | BUY | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 03-16 16:01 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | SELL | 0.4170131104 | $21.95 |
| 03-16 14:15 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |