PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pao111

0x46708013449c97e9ab386b643532895657beea1d

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$130.68

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
USD1 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.1880.165$87.95−$12.05
USD0 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.2500.060$24.02−$75.98
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2400.245$10.21+$0.21
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.1800.153$8.50−$1.50
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.4200.000$0.00−$20.00
Over $25M committed to the VOOI public sale? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) · Bilibili Gaming0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Weibo Gaming0.2500.000$0.00−$20.00
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner · Invictus Gaming0.3140.000$0.00−$20.00
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) · Invictus Gaming0.2800.000$0.00−$20.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner · Bilibili Gaming0.2880.000$0.00−$24.55
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Bilibili Gaming0.4400.000$0.00−$20.00
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan · China0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 21:46Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
10-20 21:46Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
06-25 02:01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999952$10.00
06-25 02:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1389999862$10.00
06-25 02:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$10.00
06-25 02:00Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999872$10.00
05-22 09:39OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.1019176442$8.51
05-22 09:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.14$14.74
05-08 12:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
03-22 03:14USR depeg by December 31?BUY0.7951614426$100.00
03-22 03:13USR depeg by December 31?BUY0.7539317541$100.00
03-22 03:12USR depeg by December 31?BUY0.6539952834$100.00
03-17 14:25LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group BBUY0.014$1.40
03-16 16:01LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ASELL0.4170131104$21.95
03-16 14:15LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABUY0.189999988$10.00