rufustaksebe
0x46703be32505e49db6798b1e8eab936fc30f1149
- Realised P&L
- $8.26
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $163.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.954 | $59.65 | +$0.13 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No | 0.970 | 0.984 | $56.88 | +$0.81 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $47.43 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.961Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.17at 0.972Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
- +$1.10at 0.980Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$0.89at 0.971Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.49at 0.986Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 11:15 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.978 | $48.90 |
| 04-08 12:54 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999997 | $20.64 |