PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Falus

0x466a5c59a26b0ee6e0c35aa90dcf9c84ccac5102

Realised P&L
$-31.61
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$12.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · No0.8750.885$3.30+$0.04
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.855$1.99+$0.15
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9200.920$1.95+$0.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.957$1.81+$0.09
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.8010.775$1.68$0.06
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August? · No0.9300.855$1.54$0.14
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$1.94
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? · No0.8700.000$0.00$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:33Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9199999811$1.95
09-09 08:28Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in August?BUY0.9299999668$1.68
08-24 09:22Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 24-30?BUY0.8399999582$2.41
08-14 11:44Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.7699999552$1.89
08-07 09:08Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.9399999772$1.65
07-31 09:53Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M?BUY0.99$1.64
07-24 10:43Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?BUY0.95$1.63
07-17 06:51Weed rescheduled by December 31?BUY0.8009999627$1.74
07-10 11:40Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?BUY0.8699998348$1.58
07-02 14:22Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?BUY0.8799998324$1.68
06-18 13:48NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 18?BUY0.8799999568$1.63
06-12 12:16Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?BUY0.8879996775$1.63
06-04 18:29Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.8289999431$1.56
05-29 18:18Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?BUY0.7799999379$2.26
05-22 14:29Will the median home value in the US be between $432,000 and $434,000 on May 31?BUY0.8899997595$1.85