polivan
0x46653855da1067e6a229bab0b7dd392428a2a900
- Realised P&L
- $-51.06
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.68at 0.420Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
- +$24.48at 0.290Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?
- +$23.17at 0.239Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
- +$20.28at 0.290Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$19.44at 0.720Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:43 | Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999958 | $8.00 |
| 10-10 21:43 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 21:42 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 21:42 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.64 | $14.00 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999901 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 21:39 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 10-10 21:39 | Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 17:03 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 10-10 14:50 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999966 | $1.60 |
| 10-10 14:50 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 12:22 | Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999957 | $1.80 |
| 10-10 12:22 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 12:20 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.80 |
| 10-10 12:20 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |