uldon33
0x4661c4d3fc6061a9688550a0123d404d9c9d72af
- Realised P&L
- $-5.19
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.265 | $1.4k | −$248.23 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.635 | $856.80 | −$33.20 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 02:14 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 16:06 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1603222612 | $84.00 |
| 10-26 16:06 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.556968605 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 22:32 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 22:32 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3085824494 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 22:32 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 22:31 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 22:31 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 22:29 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |
| 10-06 22:29 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3178807947 | $60.00 |
| 10-06 13:58 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 13:57 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999996 | $450.00 |
| 10-06 13:57 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999997 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 00:01 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2564127639 | $266.21 |
| 09-28 17:51 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999993 | $70.78 |