PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x465c9fe82a6585983764cf718768a1ba368c6e53

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$430.75

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? · No0.9201.000$200.00+$16.00
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.180$137.52−$76.40
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2000.044$31.37−$109.63
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.135$30.24−$5.60
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.7800.081$22.70−$197.26
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · No0.1930.890$8.90+$6.97
Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0910.009$0.01−$0.08
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$151.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 17:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.92$184.00
04-27 09:39MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$16.92
04-21 03:05Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$1.31
04-21 03:04Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$1.62
04-21 03:02Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$0.69
04-12 00:53Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?SELL0.74$357.42
04-12 00:51Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?SELL0.74$128.76
04-11 17:48Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?SELL0.78$691.86
04-11 13:34Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?BUY0.39$352.95
04-11 11:46Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?BUY0.83$736.21
04-11 06:41MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$3.08
04-11 06:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$3.19
04-11 06:16MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$3.30
04-11 06:10MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$3.19
04-11 06:07MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$3.08