PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elephantpiglucky

0x4654d52423f0439b269509fab2143f6fce544cfe

Realised P&L
$-17.6k
Volume
$161.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.633$14.4k−$1.1k
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.6790.635$3.8k−$264.00
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.7900.865$12.11+$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:10Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.79$11.06
10-25 10:43Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.45$0.03
10-25 01:15Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.73$100.20
10-24 05:16Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.709$21.27
10-19 02:33Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.66$308.02
10-18 03:40Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.64$2.2k
10-18 03:37Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.64$1.6k