yesBuck
0x4645d9f6308b52f707e15ff00e4d30880ddae00d
- Realised P&L
- $15.58
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $22.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or below on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.99 | −$0.01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $10.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.24at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
- +$1.24at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 30?
- +$0.93at 0.998Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 31?
- +$0.84at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 1?
- +$0.78at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 22:41 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on August 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 05-16 17:41 | Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-19 16:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $710.41 |
| 04-19 16:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on April 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $658.90 |
| 04-17 15:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $36.15 |
| 04-17 15:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $1.3k |
| 04-04 12:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $375.10 |
| 04-04 12:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.93 |
| 04-04 12:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 4? | BUY | 0.9989999959 | $196.97 |
| 04-04 12:04 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 4? | BUY | 0.998661077 | $294.60 |
| 04-04 00:04 | Will Solana dip to $75 on April 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $483.47 |
| 04-04 00:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 3? | BUY | 0.9989999967 | $232.97 |