PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mikemike00252

0x46459a4eca13063e20a76b2f9d19792bb12a3dff

Realised P&L
$-173.72
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$9.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.4600.455$4.95−$0.05
Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2900.285$4.91−$0.09
Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.7670.000$0.00−$593.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 22:52Will England win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.71$181.08
09-27 20:53Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.7099999992$181.08
09-27 20:47Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$183.83
09-27 20:21Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.656250307$120.76
09-27 18:20Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-27 18:20Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-27 18:19Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.999$133.21
09-27 00:32Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6299999989$84.01
09-26 21:15Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?SELL0.999$85.75
09-26 14:23Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.7299999983$52.24
09-25 21:04Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.699999993$10.00
09-25 21:00Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
09-25 20:52Will France win on 2026-09-25?SELL0.999$61.44
09-25 14:56Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.729999995$32.00
09-25 14:31Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.7299999949$12.90