mikemike00252
0x46459a4eca13063e20a76b2f9d19792bb12a3dff
- Realised P&L
- $-173.72
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $9.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.767 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$593.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.35at 0.631Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-24?
- +$141.52at 0.632Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
- +$60.99at 0.667Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$47.65at 0.642Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?
- +$22.66at 0.735Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:52 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.71 | $181.08 |
| 09-27 20:53 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7099999992 | $181.08 |
| 09-27 20:47 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $183.83 |
| 09-27 20:21 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.656250307 | $120.76 |
| 09-27 18:20 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 18:20 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $133.21 |
| 09-27 00:32 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $84.01 |
| 09-26 21:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $85.75 |
| 09-26 14:23 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.7299999983 | $52.24 |
| 09-25 21:04 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 21:00 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 20:52 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.44 |
| 09-25 14:56 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.729999995 | $32.00 |
| 09-25 14:31 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7299999949 | $12.90 |