Eedspeak
0x464465df6a79ec7ebed38cfd4fbb0ca880694ab7
- Realised P&L
- $7.47
- Volume
- $420.58
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $57.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? · No | 0.405 | 0.650 | $32.11 | +$12.11 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.260 | $18.88 | −$1.12 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No | 0.070 | 0.045 | $6.43 | −$3.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.51at 0.530Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026?
- +$-1.04at 0.009Will Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his announcement?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4048661019 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 09:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.275484803 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 07:41 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.981300106 | $18.51 |
| 10-07 10:21 | Will Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his announcement? | BUY | 0.0084745763 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:00 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 11:26 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |