maxcoen23
0x4637a665ce0b217e97623290ea153b97166abc4a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $80.8k
- Markets traded
- 583
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded583
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$405.11at 0.648Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?
- +$189.14at 0.571Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 8?
- +$96.40at 0.690Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?
- +$88.31at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$85.25at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-05 17:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 02:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 10-05 02:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 10-04 04:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-02 10:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-01 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-01 15:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-01 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 13:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.10 |
| 09-30 03:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 29? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-29 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-28 02:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-28 02:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |