PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x462e40c0d5e257D1dB35B2F0841B2c4C6403Bf1f-1773118950336

0x462e40c0d5e257d1db35b2f0841b2c4c6403bf1f

Realised P&L
$-14.36
Volume
$176.66
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$13.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? · Yes0.5730.505$13.21−$1.79
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$4.93
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 03:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
10-05 03:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-05 02:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?SELL0.027$0.60
10-04 05:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?BUY0.2699999906$6.00
04-16 05:38Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4699999809$4.93
04-16 05:29Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
03-20 07:30Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.07$0.79
03-20 07:30Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL0.87$1.17
03-20 07:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?SELL0.681$13.35
03-13 07:16Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?BUY0.760999895$1.00
03-11 09:07Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
03-11 09:00Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?BUY0.2549999638$5.00
03-11 08:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.74$1.00
03-10 05:12Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0890002441$1.00