0x462e40c0d5e257D1dB35B2F0841B2c4C6403Bf1f-1773118950336
0x462e40c0d5e257d1db35b2f0841b2c4c6403bf1f
- Realised P&L
- $-14.36
- Volume
- $176.66
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.505 | $13.21 | −$1.79 |
| Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.93 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.36at 0.255Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$0.18at 0.740Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$-0.21at 0.089Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-1.00at 0.761Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$-1.00at 0.770Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 03:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.60 |
| 10-04 05:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.2699999906 | $6.00 |
| 04-16 05:38 | Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999809 | $4.93 |
| 04-16 05:29 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 07:30 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.79 |
| 03-20 07:30 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.17 |
| 03-20 07:30 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.681 | $13.35 |
| 03-13 07:16 | Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | BUY | 0.760999895 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 09:07 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 09:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2549999638 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 08:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 05:12 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0890002441 | $1.00 |