euanjs
0x462c636d62f28f988dc7cf11c81130c3c11f53bf
- Realised P&L
- $-175.56
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $205.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No | 0.346 | 0.865 | $189.27 | +$113.51 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.030 | $16.51 | +$6.51 |
| Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.93at 0.270Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
- +$14.78at 0.176Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
- +$11.50at 0.566Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?
- +$7.25at 0.642Will Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
- +$3.56at 0.160Ethereum Up or Down on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 19:06 | Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31? | BUY | 0.5660377358 | $15.00 |
| 03-03 18:57 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | SELL | 0.08 | $167.70 |
| 03-03 17:25 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.16 | $39.78 |
| 03-03 17:25 | Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09? | SELL | 0.28 | $39.78 |
| 03-02 23:26 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2 | $126.61 |
| 02-26 22:21 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.289999998 | $78.65 |
| 02-26 22:15 | Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | SELL | 0.122 | $28.55 |
| 02-26 22:15 | Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | SELL | 0.0612867253 | $14.29 |
| 02-26 22:15 | Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | SELL | 0.2342486267 | $35.82 |
| 02-25 22:12 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.32 | $134.80 |
| 02-25 08:06 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2099999934 | $25.00 |
| 02-25 08:01 | Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | SELL | 0.999 | $132.83 |
| 02-20 12:48 | Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | BUY | 0.2699999965 | $35.90 |
| 02-19 16:31 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.25 | $70.00 |
| 02-19 16:30 | Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | BUY | 0.3596508078 | $55.00 |