0x462b3c81b61fab4be9ec9fb2f7b2d08995598feb
0x462b3c81b61fab4be9ec9fb2f7b2d08995598feb
- Realised P&L
- $-118.21
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $0.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.44at 0.400US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$4.50at 0.240Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$2.30at 0.080Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$1.89at 0.292Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$1.32at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 21:49 | Kash Patel out by April 30? | BUY | 0.219999988 | $13.88 |
| 03-29 19:55 | Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999857 | $9.60 |
| 03-15 14:35 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998471 | $1.10 |
| 03-06 16:20 | Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | SELL | 0.097 | $1.12 |
| 02-08 13:03 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 02-07 13:58 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.00 |
| 02-07 13:58 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 02-01 19:10 | Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |
| 02-01 19:07 | Will Kendrick Lamar win 2 Grammys? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 18:58 | Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.1089999565 | $2.00 |
| 02-01 18:52 | Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.1079999067 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 18:39 | Will "30 for 30 - SZA featuring Kendrick Lamar" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0959880046 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 18:06 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.50 |
| 02-01 16:05 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 16:05 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999964 | $4.00 |